it has reordered our politics, replacing earlier divisions such as those between North and South, labor unions and management, natives and immigrants.
In the past, wealthy, educated, well-connected people tended to be conservative—now they tend to be progressive.
Let’s turn to Europe where the challenges do not seem to be less significant than in the United States. Besides having doubts and debates about a unique European way of life, Europe as content went through a decade long crises period throughout the 2010s and the EU lost one of its strategically and economically important Member States. Let alone Brexit, there are still many visible cracks in the EU. The crack is visible between the “old” Europe before the Eastward enlargement and the “new” Europe after the Eastward enlargement. How do you see these cracks from overseas?
The politics of Central Europe is markedly more nationalist and traditionalist, and even “anti-progressive,” than that of Western Europe. To this outsider, a big part of the difference appears to be that the nations of Central Europe endured a long ordeal of Soviet subjugation, and their citizens are therefore more jealous of their sovereignty, while many in Western Europe believe that the two World Wars were caused by nationalism run amuck. But the David Goodhart formulation is useful here as well. Central Europe missed out on the tremendous postwar economic boom and its political ramifications. As a result, its peoples are generally less affluent, mobile, and multilingual than those of Western Europe; more important, they lack the entrenched establishments of globalist intellectuals and activists that bestride the media, culture, and politics of Western Europe. It will be interesting to see whether the current East-West differences continue as the economies of Central Europe catch up and memories of the Soviet era fade.
But these tendencies are not the whole story—there are also important differences within regions and unfolding political developments. Both Central and Western Europe include relatively religious nations (Poland and Portugal) and highly irreligious nations (the Czech Republic and Sweden). France is much more nationalist than Germany. Many proud Italians think their home-grown political institutions are hopelessly dysfunctional and better consigned to the ministrations of Brussels.
At the same time,
the EU badly bungled the financial, immigration, and pandemic crises of the past dozen years,
and did so in ways that dramatized the deficiencies of multinational bureaucracies as compared to national democracies. Many Western European nations now have vibrant nationalist parties and impressive leaders who are difficult to tar as retrograde xenophobes. My view is that, in Europe as in the United States, the future will depend less on sweeping philosophical theorizing and more on the records of the new nationalists in addressing the social and political problems of the day.
What are the major philosophical differences between the two approaches to the European integration? The Hungarian Prime Minister pointed out in an online conference last year that the EU has been in retreat in terms of its reproduction rate, defense spending as well as its weight in the global economy. Therefore, the current policies and emphasis of the European integration should be reviewed. How do you see this approach?
Prime Minister Orbán is quite right that the contours of European integration need to be reviewed with an eye towards substantial reforms; he is ahead of the pack on this as on many other matters. Despite the EU’s string of failures, it is attempting to impose itself ever further into the domestic laws and politics of member nations—and is doing so in ways that exempt its most powerful Western members. This seems to me to be an inherently unstable situation.
The architects of “ever closer union” said it would produce a continental economic powerhouse; instead, it has produced a stultifying continental bureaucracy and, with it, the sense of decline that Mr. Orbán has emphasized.
Historically, competition among distinctive national cultures and political orders has been key to the great achievements of European civilization. Recognizing that national diversity is a strength is the sine qua non of EU reform and European revival.
The Hungarian Prime Minister aims to pursue policies that protect traditional European values and lifestyle. How do you see the recent efforts that Hungary is trying to make to make the country as well as Europe more competitive and strong?
Hungary has certainly become more competitive and strong since Prime Minister Orbán and the Fidesz Party won their landslide victory in the dark days of 2010. They instituted substantial reforms in tax policy, debt management, rural development, and other areas, which contributed to solid growth in capital investment, wages, and national and per capita economic output, and to solid reductions in unemployment and (before the pandemic) public debt.
The Prime Minister’s tough, EU-defiant immigration measures averted clear-and-present dangers others were ignoring.
His measures for improving family fertility have, through trial and error, begun to show promising results. Above all, he has devoted himself to protecting Hungary’s historical memory, cultural integrity, and national independence, through concrete measures and a series of deep, lucid addresses.
The barrage of attacks on Mr. Orbán in the Western media ignore the two most important things to be said about him. First, he has proven to be a highly popular and resilient politician and an icon of Hungarian patriotism. Second, his repeated electoral victories have given him and his party extraordinary scope of action—but in a nation facing extraordinary external constraints and pressures from every direction. Serious criticism would begin with an acknowledgement of these circumstances, but alas that is not the political world we are in today. The claims of foreign critics that Mr. Orbán’s position is the result of gerrymandering, parliamentary skullduggery, and false consciousness among Hungarian voters are partisan talking points commonplace in all democracies supplied by his domestic political opponents.
The recently launched Conference on the Future of Europe might provide a forum for discussion about the future of the European integration as well as of the continent? What role might or should the Central European approach play in that Conference especially after the UK left the EU?
Exercises such as the Conference on the Future of Europe can be valuable occasions for deliberation on large questions of structure and purpose, away from the thrusts and parries of active politics. But the future of Europe will ultimately be determined by the actions of nations and EU hierarchies in resolving specific conflicts.
The UK would not have left the EU if Brussels had been flexible and reasonable in accommodating British demands for greater national autonomy.
It would be nice to think that the EU mandarins learned something from that experience, and so will be less imperious and high-handed in accommodating the nations of Central Europe. But so far there is little evidence of this, and many indications, such as the effort to cartelize corporate taxes across the continent, that the EU is continuing to move in the wrong direction.